YEARLY HIGH
0.4743 BGN
YEARLY LOW
0.4256 BGN
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.4512 BGN

2018 AED to BGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the AED to BGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 12, valuing the pair at 0.4743. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 1, dropping to 0.4256.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0486 BGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4365 to the December average rate of 0.4681, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.23% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.4743 was down 7.29% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.5116, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AED based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,371 BGN
2017 Average 2,361 BGN
Yearly Trough Low 2,128 BGN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 243.24 BGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.4723
0.4274
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AED to BGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4399, compared to 0.4624 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0224 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4399
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4624

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.0175 BGN (High: 0.4457 / Low: 0.4282). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0049 BGN (High: 0.4579 / Low: 0.4529).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0175
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0049

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0054 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0054

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 0.4686) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.4534), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0151 (+3.34%).

2018 Avg (November) 0.4686
2017 Avg (November) 0.4534

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4457 0.4282 0.4365
February 0.4367 0.4256 0.4312
March 0.4350 0.4275 0.4318
April 0.4408 0.4296 0.4339
May 0.4609 0.4442 0.4503
June 0.4601 0.4508 0.4560
July 0.4579 0.4529 0.4555
August 0.4694 0.4546 0.4615
September 0.4608 0.4524 0.4571
October 0.4706 0.4593 0.4636
November 0.4743 0.4648 0.4686
December 0.4711 0.4648 0.4681