YEARLY HIGH
48.7266 DJF
YEARLY LOW
48.0412 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
48.4162 DJF

2018 AED to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the AED to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 21, valuing the pair at 48.7266. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 11, dropping to 48.0412.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6854 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 48.6534 to the December average rate of 48.4680, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.38% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 48.7266 was down 0.01% compared to the 2017 peak of 48.7310, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AED based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 243,633 DJF
2017 Average 243,380 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 240,206 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,427.08 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

48.7029
48.1096
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AED to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 48.3652, compared to 48.4671 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1019 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 48.3652
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 48.4671

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was February, with a trading range of 0.4431 DJF (High: 48.6177 / Low: 48.1746). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0158 DJF (High: 48.4752 / Low: 48.4594).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.4431
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0158

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.3096 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3096

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 48.6534) against the same month in 2017 (average: 48.6544), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0010 (-0.00%).

2018 Avg (January) 48.6534
2017 Avg (January) 48.6544

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 48.7266 48.5340 48.6534
February 48.6177 48.1746 48.3439
March 48.2291 48.1765 48.2054
April 48.1950 48.0412 48.1590
May 48.5274 48.1599 48.3655
June 48.4744 48.4584 48.4641
July 48.4741 48.3559 48.4487
August 48.4753 48.4594 48.4702
September 48.6091 48.4594 48.4838
October 48.4767 48.4594 48.4682
November 48.4752 48.4594 48.4639
December 48.4797 48.4594 48.4680