2012 ALL to RSD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.8711 RSD

YEARLY LOW

0.7516 RSD

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.8121 RSD

2012 ALL to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the ALL to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 8, valuing the pair at 0.8711. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 11, dropping to 0.7516.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1195 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.7588 to the December average rate of 0.8108, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.85% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 0.8711 was up 13.43% compared to the 2011 peak of 0.7680, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ALL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,356 RSD

2011 Average 3,623 RSD

Yearly Trough Low 3,758 RSD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 597.56 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

0.8682

0.7489

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ALL to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.7950, compared to 0.8292 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0342 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.7950

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.8292

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was May, with a trading range of 0.0510 RSD (High: 0.8446 / Low: 0.7936). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0074 RSD (High: 0.7959 / Low: 0.7885).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0510

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0074

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0221 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0221

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2012: 0.8583) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.7292), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1290 (+17.70%).

2012 Avg (August) 0.8583

2011 Avg (August) 0.7292

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.7649	0.7516	0.7588
February	0.7893	0.7563	0.7768
March	0.7959	0.7885	0.7914
April	0.7986	0.7911	0.7956
May	0.8446	0.7936	0.8133
June	0.8454	0.8236	0.8343
July	0.8658	0.8317	0.8475
August	0.8711	0.8506	0.8583
September	0.8584	0.8183	0.8367
October	0.8288	0.7968	0.8146
November	0.8145	0.8005	0.8075
December	0.8161	0.8065	0.8108