2016 AOA to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.3141 DJF

YEARLY LOW

1.0680 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.0924 DJF

2016 AOA to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the AOA to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 1.3141. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 12, dropping to 1.0680.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2461 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.1974 to the December average rate of 1.0769, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.07% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.3141 was down 24.35% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.7372, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AOA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,571 DJF

2015 Average 7,494 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 5,340 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,230.56 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.2101

1.0581

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AOA to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.1117, compared to 1.0730 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0387 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.1117

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0730

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.1726 DJF (High: 1.3141 / Low: 1.1416). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0033 DJF (High: 1.0727 / Low: 1.0693).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1726

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0033

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0682 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0682

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 1.1974) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.7199), the exchange rate shifted by -0.5225 (-30.38%).

2016 Avg (January) 1.1974

2015 Avg (January) 1.7199

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.3141	1.1416	1.1974
February	1.1423	1.1181	1.1292
March	1.1196	1.1072	1.1158
April	1.1068	1.0710	1.0843
May	1.0727	1.0693	1.0713
June	1.0730	1.0696	1.0721
July	1.0722	1.0686	1.0708
August	1.0723	1.0684	1.0712
September	1.0740	1.0680	1.0715
October	1.0762	1.0701	1.0729
November	1.0770	1.0717	1.0749
December	1.0851	1.0723	1.0769