YEARLY HIGH
2.1578 HUF
YEARLY LOW
1.6306 HUF
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.7305 HUF

2016 AOA to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the AOA to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 6, valuing the pair at 2.1578. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 2, dropping to 1.6306.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5271 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.9499 to the December average rate of 1.7867, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.37% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 2.1578 was down 20.97% compared to the 2015 peak of 2.7303, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AOA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 10,789 HUF
2015 Average 11,765 HUF
Yearly Trough Low 8,153 HUF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,635.61 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.9786
1.6339
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AOA to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.7535, compared to 1.7075 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0459 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.7535
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.7075

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.3137 HUF (High: 2.1578 / Low: 1.8440). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0349 HUF (High: 1.6790 / Low: 1.6441).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.3137
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0349

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1745 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1745

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 1.9499) against the same month in 2015 (average: 2.6267), the exchange rate shifted by -0.6768 (-25.77%).

2016 Avg (January) 1.9499
2015 Avg (January) 2.6267

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.1578 1.8440 1.9499
February 1.8377 1.7455 1.7754
March 1.7983 1.7197 1.7546
April 1.7163 1.6442 1.6773
May 1.7062 1.6306 1.6795
June 1.7384 1.6447 1.6840
July 1.7269 1.6819 1.7152
August 1.6943 1.6530 1.6714
September 1.6790 1.6441 1.6627
October 1.7138 1.6424 1.6805
November 1.7806 1.6611 1.7285
December 1.8073 1.7587 1.7867