2018 AOA to RSD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.5961 RSD

YEARLY LOW

0.3329 RSD

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.4076 RSD

2018 AOA to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the AOA to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 0.5961. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 19, dropping to 0.3329.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2633 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5463 to the December average rate of 0.3365, the exchange rate registered a net change of -38.41% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.5961 was down 16.52% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.7141, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AOA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,981 RSD

2017 Average 3,244 RSD

Yearly Trough Low 1,664 RSD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,316.35 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.5674

0.3146

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AOA to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4567, compared to 0.3586 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0981 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4567

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3586

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.1349 RSD (High: 0.5961 / Low: 0.4612). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0047 RSD (High: 0.3376 / Low: 0.3329).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1349

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0047

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0902 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0902

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.5463) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.7017), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1554 (-22.14%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.5463

2017 Avg (January) 0.7017

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.5961	0.4612	0.5463
February	0.4634	0.4480	0.4561
March	0.4514	0.4445	0.4476
April	0.4499	0.4331	0.4417
May	0.4376	0.4218	0.4304
June	0.4276	0.4051	0.4179
July	0.4082	0.3927	0.3986
August	0.3982	0.3668	0.3850
September	0.3690	0.3461	0.3556
October	0.3451	0.3369	0.3403
November	0.3376	0.3329	0.3357
December	0.3396	0.3343	0.3365