YEARLY HIGH
0.3473 RUB
YEARLY LOW
0.2114 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.2540 RUB

2018 AOA to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the AOA to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 0.3473. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 19, dropping to 0.2114.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1359 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3183 to the December average rate of 0.2188, the exchange rate registered a net change of -31.24% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.3473 was down 5.96% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.3693, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AOA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,736 RUB
2017 Average 1,757 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 1,057 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 679.35 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.3286
0.2043
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AOA to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2770, compared to 0.2309 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0461 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2770
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2309

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.0763 RUB (High: 0.3473 / Low: 0.2710). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0069 RUB (High: 0.2709 / Low: 0.2640).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0763
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0069

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0476 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0476

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.3183) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.3609), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0426 (-11.81%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.3183
2017 Avg (January) 0.3609

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.3473 0.2710 0.3183
February 0.2792 0.2614 0.2707
March 0.2709 0.2640 0.2668
April 0.2891 0.2662 0.2787
May 0.2824 0.2603 0.2684
June 0.2649 0.2520 0.2594
July 0.2553 0.2423 0.2482
August 0.2613 0.2440 0.2498
September 0.2483 0.2228 0.2368
October 0.2221 0.2127 0.2174
November 0.2191 0.2114 0.2146
December 0.2255 0.2146 0.2188