YEARLY HIGH
5.5410 RWF
YEARLY LOW
4.4685 RWF
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.7918 RWF

2016 AOA to RWF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the AOA to RWF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 8, valuing the pair at 5.5410. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 26, dropping to 4.4685.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0725 RWF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.0471 to the December average rate of 4.9799, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.33% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 5.5410 was down 17.91% compared to the 2015 peak of 6.7496, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AOA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 27,705 RWF
2015 Average 29,971 RWF
Yearly Trough Low 22,342 RWF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,362.54 RWF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

5.0928
4.5445
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AOA to RWF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.7394, compared to 4.8441 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1048 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.7394
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.8441

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.7489 RWF (High: 5.5410 / Low: 4.7921). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0676 RWF (High: 4.8693 / Low: 4.8017).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.7489
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0676

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.2547 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2547

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 5.0471) against the same month in 2015 (average: 6.6840), the exchange rate shifted by -1.6369 (-24.49%).

2016 Avg (January) 5.0471
2015 Avg (January) 6.6840

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.5410 4.7921 5.0471
February 4.8624 4.7469 4.7925
March 4.8773 4.6713 4.7598
April 4.7325 4.5475 4.6473
May 4.6471 4.5024 4.5902
June 4.7785 4.4685 4.5994
July 4.7610 4.5373 4.6589
August 4.9007 4.7279 4.7896
September 4.8693 4.8017 4.8383
October 4.9284 4.7935 4.8685
November 4.9654 4.8170 4.9297
December 5.0412 4.9351 4.9799