YEARLY HIGH
8.4159 AOA
YEARLY LOW
6.0104 AOA
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.6182 AOA

2019 ARS to AOA Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the ARS to AOA exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 5, valuing the pair at 8.4159. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 14, dropping to 6.0104.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.4055 AOA. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.3026 to the December average rate of 7.9606, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.12% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 8.4159 was down 23.55% compared to the 2018 peak of 11.0086, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 42,079 AOA
2018 Average 46,123 AOA
Yearly Trough Low 30,052 AOA
Transaction Impact: A difference of 12,027.38 AOA purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

8.4835
6.3125
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to AOA Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.7632, compared to 7.4733 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2900 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.7632
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.4733

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 1.9594 AOA (High: 7.9697 / Low: 6.0104). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2293 AOA (High: 8.4070 / Low: 8.1777).

August Spread (Volatile) ±1.9594
January Spread (Stable) ±0.2293

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 1.1868 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.1868

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2019: 8.1789) against the same month in 2018 (average: 10.5964), the exchange rate shifted by -2.4175 (-22.81%).

2019 Avg (February) 8.1789
2018 Avg (February) 10.5964

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.4070 8.1777 8.3026
February 8.4159 7.9108 8.1789
March 7.9030 7.2317 7.6577
April 7.6756 6.9882 7.4127
May 7.4361 7.1819 7.2934
June 8.0313 7.3937 7.7341
July 8.3296 7.9477 8.1634
August 7.9697 6.0104 6.9766
September 6.6131 6.0838 6.4935
October 8.3731 6.5380 7.3071
November 8.3473 7.7280 7.9385
December 8.2347 7.6635 7.9606