2019 ARS to BMD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0271 BMD

YEARLY LOW

0.0166 BMD

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0214 BMD

2019 ARS to BMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the ARS to BMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 11, valuing the pair at 0.0271. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 14, dropping to 0.0166.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0105 BMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0268 to the December average rate of 0.0167, the exchange rate registered a net change of -37.52% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.0271 was down 50.16% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.0544, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 135 BMD

2018 Average 191 BMD

Yearly Trough Low 83 BMD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 52.47 BMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.0278

0.0157

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to BMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0243, compared to 0.0185 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0057 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0243

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0185

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.0060 BMD (High: 0.0226 / Low: 0.0166). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0001 BMD (High: 0.0168 / Low: 0.0167).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0060

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0001

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0042 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0042

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 0.0268) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.0526), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0259 (-49.16%).

2019 Avg (January) 0.0268

2018 Avg (January) 0.0526

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0271	0.0265	0.0268
February	0.0269	0.0252	0.0261
March	0.0251	0.0228	0.0242
April	0.0240	0.0218	0.0232
May	0.0225	0.0221	0.0223
June	0.0236	0.0223	0.0229
July	0.0241	0.0228	0.0236
August	0.0226	0.0166	0.0194
September	0.0181	0.0168	0.0177
October	0.0174	0.0167	0.0171
November	0.0168	0.0167	0.0168
December	0.0168	0.0167	0.0167