YEARLY HIGH
0.3758 BOB
YEARLY LOW
0.1674 BOB
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.2643 BOB

2018 ARS to BOB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to BOB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 0.3758. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 0.1674.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2084 BOB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3638 to the December average rate of 0.1829, the exchange rate registered a net change of -49.75% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.3758 was down 18.13% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.4590, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,879 BOB
2017 Average 2,101 BOB
Yearly Trough Low 837 BOB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,041.75 BOB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.3823
0.1611
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to BOB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3250, compared to 0.2037 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1213 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3250
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2037

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.0751 BOB (High: 0.2535 / Low: 0.1784). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0039 BOB (High: 0.3433 / Low: 0.3395).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0751
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0039

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0534 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0534

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.3638) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.4355), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0717 (-16.45%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.3638
2017 Avg (January) 0.4355

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.3758 0.3515 0.3638
February 0.3569 0.3417 0.3486
March 0.3433 0.3395 0.3419
April 0.3434 0.3363 0.3413
May 0.3344 0.2761 0.2943
June 0.2778 0.2390 0.2600
July 0.2542 0.2385 0.2500
August 0.2535 0.1784 0.2329
September 0.1880 0.1674 0.1795
October 0.1928 0.1751 0.1867
November 0.1954 0.1768 0.1901
December 0.1899 0.1802 0.1829