YEARLY HIGH
44.2931 CDF
YEARLY LOW
27.4548 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
35.3287 CDF

2019 ARS to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the ARS to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 13, valuing the pair at 44.2931. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 14, dropping to 27.4548.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 16.8383 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 43.7555 to the December average rate of 28.0636, the exchange rate registered a net change of -35.86% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 44.2931 was down 48.88% compared to the 2018 peak of 86.6493, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 221,466 CDF
2018 Average 308,841 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 137,274 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 84,191.41 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

45.3427
26.2970
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 39.7993, compared to 30.8581 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 8.9412 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 39.7993
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 30.8581

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 10.0188 CDF (High: 37.4737 / Low: 27.4548). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2834 CDF (High: 28.0255 / Low: 27.7421).

August Spread (Volatile) ±10.0188
November Spread (Stable) ±0.2834

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 6.9535 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -6.9535

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 43.7555) against the same month in 2018 (average: 84.2888), the exchange rate shifted by -40.5333 (-48.09%).

2019 Avg (January) 43.7555
2018 Avg (January) 84.2888

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 44.2931 43.3239 43.7555
February 44.2849 41.3031 42.7393
March 41.1343 37.4077 39.6807
April 39.4212 35.6995 38.0690
May 37.1968 36.2460 36.6740
June 39.1681 36.6134 37.8772
July 40.0915 37.8251 39.1461
August 37.4737 27.4548 32.1926
September 30.1288 27.9390 29.4116
October 28.8811 27.7860 28.4505
November 28.0255 27.7421 27.8842
December 28.2384 27.8060 28.0636