YEARLY HIGH
0.3530 CNY
YEARLY LOW
0.1664 CNY
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.2507 CNY

2018 ARS to CNY Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to CNY exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 0.3530. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 0.1664.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1867 CNY. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3384 to the December average rate of 0.1823, the exchange rate registered a net change of -46.11% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.3530 was down 22.31% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.4544, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,765 CNY
2017 Average 2,049 CNY
Yearly Trough Low 832 CNY
Transaction Impact: A difference of 933.27 CNY purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.3544
0.1619
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to CNY Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2993, compared to 0.2021 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0972 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2993
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2021

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.0743 CNY (High: 0.2510 / Low: 0.1767). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0044 CNY (High: 0.3128 / Low: 0.3083).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0743
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0044

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0529 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0529

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.3384) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.4342), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0958 (-22.07%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.3384
2017 Avg (January) 0.4342

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.3530 0.3203 0.3384
February 0.3254 0.3125 0.3189
March 0.3156 0.3105 0.3128
April 0.3128 0.3083 0.3112
May 0.3064 0.2536 0.2713
June 0.2574 0.2292 0.2432
July 0.2501 0.2289 0.2433
August 0.2510 0.1767 0.2308
September 0.1854 0.1664 0.1780
October 0.1944 0.1740 0.1870
November 0.1967 0.1776 0.1910
December 0.1884 0.1792 0.1823