2016 ARS to ETB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.6384 ETB

YEARLY LOW

1.3543 ETB

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.4817 ETB

2016 ARS to ETB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ARS to ETB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 1.6384. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 29, dropping to 1.3543.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2841 ETB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5672 to the December average rate of 1.4140, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.78% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.6384 was down 31.20% compared to the 2015 peak of 2.3814, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,192 ETB

2015 Average 11,231 ETB

Yearly Trough Low 6,771 ETB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,420.62 ETB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.5826

1.3986

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to ETB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.5038, compared to 1.4595 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0443 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.5038

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.4595

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.1599 ETB (High: 1.5142 / Low: 1.3543). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0258 ETB (High: 1.4715 / Low: 1.4456).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.1599

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0258

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1245 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1245

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 1.5672) against the same month in 2015 (average: 2.3554), the exchange rate shifted by -0.7882 (-33.46%).

2016 Avg (January) 1.5672

2015 Avg (January) 2.3554

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.6384	1.5310	1.5672
February	1.5142	1.3543	1.4428
March	1.4831	1.3588	1.4357
April	1.5352	1.4587	1.4980
May	1.5733	1.5107	1.5358
June	1.5890	1.4341	1.5436
July	1.5027	1.4538	1.4739
August	1.5045	1.4693	1.4870
September	1.4783	1.4418	1.4645
October	1.4715	1.4456	1.4621
November	1.4885	1.4210	1.4556
December	1.4480	1.3932	1.4140