YEARLY HIGH
0.4250 HKD
YEARLY LOW
0.1896 HKD
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.2998 HKD

2018 ARS to HKD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to HKD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 0.4250. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 0.1896.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2353 HKD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4116 to the December average rate of 0.2069, the exchange rate registered a net change of -49.73% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.4250 was down 17.34% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.5141, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,125 HKD
2017 Average 2,360 HKD
Yearly Trough Low 948 HKD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,176.65 HKD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.4324
0.1826
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to HKD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3685, compared to 0.2311 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1374 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3685
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2311

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.0853 HKD (High: 0.2880 / Low: 0.2026). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0054 HKD (High: 0.3899 / Low: 0.3845).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0853
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0054

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0612 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0612

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.4116) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.4882), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0766 (-15.69%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.4116
2017 Avg (January) 0.4882

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4250 0.3980 0.4116
February 0.4039 0.3871 0.3945
March 0.3899 0.3845 0.3879
April 0.3901 0.3818 0.3877
May 0.3790 0.3140 0.3343
June 0.3152 0.2717 0.2952
July 0.2886 0.2711 0.2842
August 0.2880 0.2026 0.2646
September 0.2131 0.1896 0.2035
October 0.2185 0.1983 0.2118
November 0.2214 0.2001 0.2155
December 0.2140 0.2040 0.2069