YEARLY HIGH
4.5648 HTG
YEARLY LOW
3.8982 HTG
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.2723 HTG

2016 ARS to HTG Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ARS to HTG exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 14, valuing the pair at 4.5648. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 29, dropping to 3.8982.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6666 HTG. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.2787 to the December average rate of 4.2032, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.76% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 4.5648 was down 26.31% compared to the 2015 peak of 6.1945, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 22,824 HTG
2015 Average 27,504 HTG
Yearly Trough Low 19,491 HTG
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,333.07 HTG purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

4.4761
4.0474
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to HTG Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.2812, compared to 4.2633 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0180 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.2812
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.2633

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.4389 HTG (High: 4.5648 / Low: 4.1259). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0482 HTG (High: 4.3001 / Low: 4.2519).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.4389
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0482

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1956 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1956

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 4.4404) against the same month in 2015 (average: 5.3005), the exchange rate shifted by -0.8601 (-16.23%).

2016 Avg (June) 4.4404
2015 Avg (June) 5.3005

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.3956 4.1172 4.2787
February 4.2408 3.8982 4.0832
March 4.2914 3.9044 4.1532
April 4.4238 4.2028 4.3189
May 4.4925 4.3490 4.4131
June 4.5648 4.1259 4.4404
July 4.3336 4.1838 4.2478
August 4.3632 4.2417 4.3193
September 4.3426 4.2541 4.3019
October 4.3001 4.2519 4.2770
November 4.3324 4.1567 4.2304
December 4.3278 4.0919 4.2032