YEARLY HIGH
3.4509 INR
YEARLY LOW
1.7565 INR
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.5857 INR

2018 ARS to INR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to INR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 3.4509. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 1.7565.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.6944 INR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.3503 to the December average rate of 1.8716, the exchange rate registered a net change of -44.14% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 3.4509 was down 20.97% compared to the 2017 peak of 4.3665, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 17,254 INR
2017 Average 19,728 INR
Yearly Trough Low 8,782 INR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,471.98 INR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

3.4982
1.7237
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to INR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.0811, compared to 2.0904 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.9907 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.0811
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.0904

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.6980 INR (High: 2.5326 / Low: 1.8346). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0496 INR (High: 3.2349 / Low: 3.1853).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.6980
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0496

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.4708 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4708

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 3.3503) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4.2851), the exchange rate shifted by -0.9348 (-21.81%).

2018 Avg (January) 3.3503
2017 Avg (January) 4.2851

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.4509 3.2368 3.3503
February 3.3038 3.2109 3.2506
March 3.2349 3.1853 3.2171
April 3.3055 3.2132 3.2442
May 3.2254 2.7020 2.8751
June 2.6983 2.3693 2.5491
July 2.5207 2.3642 2.4872
August 2.5326 1.8346 2.3429
September 1.9486 1.7565 1.8721
October 2.0641 1.8586 1.9902
November 2.0574 1.8121 1.9786
December 1.9303 1.8273 1.8716