YEARLY HIGH
1936.8248 IRR
YEARLY LOW
1045.9907 IRR
YEARLY AVERAGE
1531.4817 IRR

2018 ARS to IRR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to IRR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 1936.8248. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 1045.9907.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 890.8342 IRR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1897.0832 to the December average rate of 1117.9528, the exchange rate registered a net change of -41.07% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1936.8248 was down 9.77% compared to the 2017 peak of 2146.4487, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,684,124 IRR
2017 Average 9,997,745 IRR
Yearly Trough Low 5,229,953 IRR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,454,170.88 IRR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1974.9963
1040.0398
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to IRR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1798.5856, compared to 1264.3777 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 534.2079 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1798.5856
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1264.3777

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 495.0610 IRR (High: 1609.3758 / Low: 1114.3148). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 31.9997 IRR (High: 1867.5752 / Low: 1835.5755).

August Spread (Volatile) ±495.0610
March Spread (Stable) ±31.9997

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 340.5398 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -340.5398

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 1897.0832) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1995.9365), the exchange rate shifted by -98.8533 (-4.95%).

2018 Avg (January) 1897.0832
2017 Avg (January) 1995.9365

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1936.8248 1837.2129 1897.0832
February 1908.7313 1842.3960 1869.3211
March 1867.5752 1835.5755 1854.8892
April 1867.9880 1822.5327 1853.1564
May 1828.5721 1649.9903 1723.7747
June 1694.2706 1474.9150 1593.2890
July 1607.9804 1473.1556 1567.5595
August 1609.3758 1114.3148 1461.1071
September 1171.5781 1045.9907 1120.5672
October 1184.0150 1093.4579 1149.1049
November 1201.1795 1087.3939 1169.9748
December 1163.1798 1097.6277 1117.9528