YEARLY HIGH
8.3417 LKR
YEARLY LOW
4.0854 LKR
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.1445 LKR

2018 ARS to LKR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to LKR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 8.3417. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 16, dropping to 4.0854.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.2563 LKR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.0944 to the December average rate of 4.7715, the exchange rate registered a net change of -41.05% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 8.3417 was down 17.09% compared to the 2017 peak of 10.0613, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 41,709 LKR
2017 Average 46,167 LKR
Yearly Trough Low 20,427 LKR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 21,281.35 LKR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

8.4753
3.9042
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to LKR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.3378, compared to 4.9511 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.3867 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.3378
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.9511

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 1.7020 LKR (High: 5.8614 / Low: 4.1594). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1008 LKR (High: 7.7723 / Low: 7.6715).

August Spread (Volatile) ±1.7020
April Spread (Stable) ±0.1008

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 1.1183 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.1183

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 8.0944) against the same month in 2017 (average: 9.4386), the exchange rate shifted by -1.3442 (-14.24%).

2018 Avg (January) 8.0944
2017 Avg (January) 9.4386

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.3417 7.8267 8.0944
February 7.9610 7.6598 7.8097
March 7.7410 7.6098 7.7004
April 7.7723 7.6715 7.7178
May 7.6313 6.3137 6.7246
June 6.3760 5.4793 5.9800
July 5.8626 5.4708 5.7679
August 5.8614 4.1594 5.4034
September 4.5372 4.0854 4.2851
October 4.8764 4.2822 4.6291
November 4.9416 4.6080 4.8495
December 4.9020 4.6999 4.7715