2019 ARS to MAD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.2580 MAD

YEARLY LOW

0.1586 MAD

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.2057 MAD

2019 ARS to MAD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the ARS to MAD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 26, valuing the pair at 0.2580. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 14, dropping to 0.1586.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0994 MAD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2551 to the December average rate of 0.1609, the exchange rate registered a net change of -36.94% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.2580 was down 49.12% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.5070, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,290 MAD

2018 Average 1,787 MAD

Yearly Trough Low 793 MAD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 496.89 MAD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.2646

0.1515

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to MAD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2328, compared to 0.1785 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0542 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2328

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1785

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.0591 MAD (High: 0.2177 / Low: 0.1586). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0016 MAD (High: 0.1626 / Low: 0.1610).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0591

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0016

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0400 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0400

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 0.2551) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.4871), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2320 (-47.63%).

2019 Avg (January) 0.2551

2018 Avg (January) 0.4871

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.2580	0.2528	0.2551
February	0.2567	0.2401	0.2489
March	0.2411	0.2200	0.2330
April	0.2311	0.2111	0.2239
May	0.2189	0.2134	0.2157
June	0.2259	0.2143	0.2199
July	0.2302	0.2187	0.2261
August	0.2177	0.1586	0.1862
September	0.1747	0.1622	0.1710
October	0.1693	0.1610	0.1652
November	0.1626	0.1610	0.1618
December	0.1618	0.1598	0.1609