YEARLY HIGH
9.6737 MRO
YEARLY LOW
5.9271 MRO
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.6399 MRO

2019 ARS to MRO Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the ARS to MRO exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 11, valuing the pair at 9.6737. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 14, dropping to 5.9271.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.7467 MRO. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 9.5553 to the December average rate of 5.9698, the exchange rate registered a net change of -37.52% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 9.6737 was down 49.93% compared to the 2018 peak of 19.3204, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 48,369 MRO
2018 Average 67,862 MRO
Yearly Trough Low 29,635 MRO
Transaction Impact: A difference of 18,733.33 MRO purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

9.9139
5.6112
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to MRO Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.6592, compared to 6.6207 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.0385 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.6592
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.6207

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 2.1326 MRO (High: 8.0596 / Low: 5.9271). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0308 MRO (High: 5.9843 / Low: 5.9535).

August Spread (Volatile) ±2.1326
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0308

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 1.4852 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.4852

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 9.5553) against the same month in 2018 (average: 18.6814), the exchange rate shifted by -9.1261 (-48.85%).

2019 Avg (January) 9.5553
2018 Avg (January) 18.6814

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 9.6737 9.4428 9.5553
February 9.6097 9.0024 9.3149
March 8.9647 8.1377 8.6559
April 8.5789 7.7902 8.2929
May 8.0428 7.8857 7.9620
June 8.4262 7.9489 8.1738
July 8.5962 8.1388 8.4188
August 8.0596 5.9271 6.9336
September 6.4562 5.9997 6.3094
October 6.2177 5.9577 6.1088
November 6.0071 5.9570 5.9836
December 5.9843 5.9535 5.9698