2018 ARS to MZN Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

3.1977 MZN

YEARLY LOW

1.4677 MZN

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.3049 MZN

2018 ARS to MZN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to MZN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 3.1977. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 1.4677.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.7300 MZN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.1098 to the December average rate of 1.6139, the exchange rate registered a net change of -48.10% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 3.1977 was down 30.65% compared to the 2017 peak of 4.6113, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 15,989 MZN

2017 Average 19,523 MZN

Yearly Trough Low 7,339 MZN

Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,650.01 MZN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

3.2637

1.4159

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to MZN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.8411, compared to 1.7687 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.0724 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.8411

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.7687

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.6114 MZN (High: 2.1548 / Low: 1.5434). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0488 MZN (High: 3.0785 / Low: 3.0297).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.6114

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0488

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.4349 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4349

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 3.1098) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4.4526), the exchange rate shifted by -1.3428 (-30.16%).

2018 Avg (January) 3.1098

2017 Avg (January) 4.4526

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	3.1977	3.0032	3.1098
February	3.1406	3.0075	3.0730
March	3.0785	3.0297	3.0609
April	3.0358	2.9051	2.9980
May	2.8854	2.3949	2.5632
June	2.4082	2.0700	2.2417
July	2.2079	2.0590	2.1368
August	2.1548	1.5434	1.9781
September	1.6354	1.4677	1.5699
October	1.6900	1.5377	1.6377
November	1.7300	1.5659	1.6757
December	1.6666	1.5934	1.6139