YEARLY HIGH
1.6757 NIO
YEARLY LOW
0.7789 NIO
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.2066 NIO

2018 ARS to NIO Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to NIO exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 1.6757. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 29, dropping to 0.7789.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8969 NIO. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.6297 to the December average rate of 0.8582, the exchange rate registered a net change of -47.34% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.6757 was down 14.33% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.9560, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,379 NIO
2017 Average 9,077 NIO
Yearly Trough Low 3,894 NIO
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,484.42 NIO purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.7095
0.7519
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to NIO Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.4679, compared to 0.9453 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.5226 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.4679
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9453

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.3427 NIO (High: 1.1672 / Low: 0.8246). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0246 NIO (High: 1.5510 / Low: 1.5265).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.3427
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0246

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.2430 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2430

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 1.6297) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.8507), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2209 (-11.94%).

2018 Avg (January) 1.6297
2017 Avg (January) 1.8507

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.6757 1.5805 1.6297
February 1.6073 1.5391 1.5712
March 1.5510 1.5265 1.5413
April 1.5495 1.5191 1.5414
May 1.5096 1.2529 1.3355
June 1.2679 1.0911 1.1880
July 1.1687 1.0922 1.1487
August 1.1672 0.8246 1.0748
September 0.8681 0.7789 0.8317
October 0.9003 0.8147 0.8694
November 0.9114 0.8277 0.8889
December 0.8874 0.8446 0.8582