YEARLY HIGH
0.1876 PLN
YEARLY LOW
0.0894 PLN
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1367 PLN

2018 ARS to PLN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to PLN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 0.1876. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 0.0894.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0982 PLN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1796 to the December average rate of 0.0998, the exchange rate registered a net change of -44.45% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.1876 was down 29.36% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.2655, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 938 PLN
2017 Average 1,146 PLN
Yearly Trough Low 447 PLN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 491.01 PLN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.1880
0.0875
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to PLN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1634, compared to 0.1100 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0534 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1634
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1100

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.0409 PLN (High: 0.1361 / Low: 0.0952). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0044 PLN (High: 0.1705 / Low: 0.1661).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0409
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0044

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0294 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0294

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.1796) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.2585), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0789 (-30.52%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.1796
2017 Avg (January) 0.2585

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1876 0.1700 0.1796
February 0.1727 0.1674 0.1702
March 0.1705 0.1661 0.1688
April 0.1715 0.1659 0.1687
May 0.1721 0.1432 0.1543
June 0.1480 0.1295 0.1387
July 0.1362 0.1291 0.1339
August 0.1361 0.0952 0.1252
September 0.1008 0.0894 0.0958
October 0.1069 0.0938 0.1013
November 0.1079 0.0970 0.1041
December 0.1031 0.0981 0.0998