YEARLY HIGH
0.3216 RON
YEARLY LOW
0.2579 RON
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.2755 RON

2016 ARS to RON Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ARS to RON exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 0.3216. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 1, dropping to 0.2579.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0637 RON. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3077 to the December average rate of 0.2707, the exchange rate registered a net change of -12.02% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.3216 was down 33.27% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.4820, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,608 RON
2015 Average 2,175 RON
Yearly Trough Low 1,290 RON
Transaction Impact: A difference of 318.43 RON purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.3121
0.2585
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to RON Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2818, compared to 0.2691 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0127 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2818
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2691

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.0359 RON (High: 0.2959 / Low: 0.2601). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0076 RON (High: 0.2755 / Low: 0.2679).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0359
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0076

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0344 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0344

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.3077) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.4488), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1412 (-31.45%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.3077
2015 Avg (January) 0.4488

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.3216 0.2988 0.3077
February 0.2959 0.2601 0.2732
March 0.2758 0.2609 0.2692
April 0.2825 0.2652 0.2741
May 0.2914 0.2739 0.2821
June 0.2932 0.2692 0.2847
July 0.2782 0.2664 0.2720
August 0.2725 0.2643 0.2682
September 0.2668 0.2580 0.2629
October 0.2733 0.2579 0.2682
November 0.2755 0.2679 0.2725
December 0.2804 0.2619 0.2707