2018 ARS to SBD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.4220 SBD

YEARLY LOW

0.1911 SBD

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.3005 SBD

2018 ARS to SBD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to SBD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 0.4220. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 0.1911.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2309 SBD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4090 to the December average rate of 0.2138, the exchange rate registered a net change of -47.71% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.4220 was down 18.72% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.5192, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,110 SBD

2017 Average 2,366 SBD

Yearly Trough Low 955 SBD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,154.61 SBD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.4294

0.1844

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to SBD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3667, compared to 0.2344 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1323 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3667

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2344

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.0858 SBD (High: 0.2894 / Low: 0.2037). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0050 SBD (High: 0.3870 / Low: 0.3820).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0858

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0050

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0612 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0612

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.4090) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.4945), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0855 (-17.30%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.4090

2017 Avg (January) 0.4945

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.4220	0.3941	0.4090
February	0.3998	0.3851	0.3911
March	0.3870	0.3820	0.3843
April	0.3874	0.3785	0.3845
May	0.3764	0.3127	0.3334
June	0.3178	0.2750	0.2976
July	0.2905	0.2742	0.2865
August	0.2894	0.2037	0.2660
September	0.2141	0.1911	0.2048
October	0.2237	0.1999	0.2150
November	0.2266	0.2044	0.2202
December	0.2190	0.2103	0.2138