2018 ARS to SZL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.6724 SZL

YEARLY LOW

0.3441 SZL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.4961 SZL

2018 ARS to SZL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to SZL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 10, valuing the pair at 0.6724. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 29, dropping to 0.3441.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3283 SZL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6424 to the December average rate of 0.3766, the exchange rate registered a net change of -41.37% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.6724 was down 26.66% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.9168, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,362 SZL

2017 Average 4,031 SZL

Yearly Trough Low 1,720 SZL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,641.72 SZL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.6690

0.3501

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to SZL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5759, compared to 0.4163 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1597 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5759

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4163

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.1568 SZL (High: 0.5271 / Low: 0.3703). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0168 SZL (High: 0.4931 / Low: 0.4763).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.1568

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0168

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0889 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0889

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.6424) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.8527), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2104 (-24.67%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.6424

2017 Avg (January) 0.8527

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.6724	0.6043	0.6424
February	0.6206	0.5732	0.5975
March	0.5958	0.5780	0.5861
April	0.6148	0.5858	0.5973
May	0.5990	0.4915	0.5341
June	0.5128	0.4759	0.4981
July	0.4931	0.4763	0.4856
August	0.5271	0.3703	0.4718
September	0.4103	0.3441	0.3829
October	0.4113	0.3582	0.3925
November	0.4077	0.3533	0.3882
December	0.3836	0.3611	0.3766