YEARLY HIGH
0.2337 TRY
YEARLY LOW
0.1342 TRY
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1772 TRY

2018 ARS to TRY Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to TRY exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 13, valuing the pair at 0.2337. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 26, dropping to 0.1342.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0995 TRY. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1985 to the December average rate of 0.1405, the exchange rate registered a net change of -29.23% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.2337 was down 4.66% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.2452, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,169 TRY
2017 Average 1,104 TRY
Yearly Trough Low 671 TRY
Transaction Impact: A difference of 497.43 TRY purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.2067
0.1345
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to TRY Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1909, compared to 0.1636 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0273 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1909
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1636

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.0598 TRY (High: 0.2337 / Low: 0.1739). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0068 TRY (High: 0.1442 / Low: 0.1374).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0598
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0068

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0352 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0352

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2018: 0.1992) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.2013), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0021 (-1.03%).

2018 Avg (August) 0.1992
2017 Avg (August) 0.2013

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.2050 0.1909 0.1985
February 0.1945 0.1877 0.1909
March 0.1993 0.1869 0.1926
April 0.2055 0.1962 0.2007
May 0.1984 0.1742 0.1883
June 0.1864 0.1588 0.1741
July 0.1794 0.1588 0.1729
August 0.2337 0.1739 0.1992
September 0.1784 0.1464 0.1640
October 0.1636 0.1490 0.1571
November 0.1549 0.1342 0.1477
December 0.1442 0.1374 0.1405