YEARLY HIGH
122.0431 TZS
YEARLY LOW
55.3190 TZS
YEARLY AVERAGE
86.9547 TZS

2018 ARS to TZS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to TZS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 122.0431. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 55.3190.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 66.7241 TZS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 118.2799 to the December average rate of 60.9142, the exchange rate registered a net change of -48.50% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 122.0431 was down 17.42% compared to the 2017 peak of 147.7849, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 610,216 TZS
2017 Average 677,570 TZS
Yearly Trough Low 276,595 TZS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 333,620.57 TZS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

124.1782
53.3989
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to TZS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 106.4576, compared to 67.4518 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 39.0058 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 106.4576
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 67.4518

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 24.7729 TZS (High: 83.6855 / Low: 58.9126). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.6580 TZS (High: 112.2740 / Low: 110.6160).

August Spread (Volatile) ±24.7729
March Spread (Stable) ±1.6580

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 17.6642 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -17.6642

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 118.2799) against the same month in 2017 (average: 139.5145), the exchange rate shifted by -21.2346 (-15.22%).

2018 Avg (January) 118.2799
2017 Avg (January) 139.5145

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 122.0431 114.5759 118.2799
February 116.3753 111.5395 113.6477
March 112.2740 110.6160 111.6230
April 113.4310 111.2019 112.2854
May 110.2447 91.3077 97.1701
June 91.5717 78.9705 85.7396
July 83.6196 78.6992 82.4801
August 83.6855 58.9126 76.9614
September 62.0856 55.3190 59.2972
October 63.8078 57.8697 61.8435
November 64.7491 58.8561 63.2142
December 62.9553 59.8569 60.9142