2018 ARS to UZS Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

441.5745 UZS

YEARLY LOW

195.7835 UZS

YEARLY AVERAGE

308.9183 UZS

2018 ARS to UZS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to UZS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 441.5745. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 195.7835.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 245.7910 UZS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 428.7307 to the December average rate of 220.1633, the exchange rate registered a net change of -48.65% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 441.5745 was down 7.63% compared to the 2017 peak of 478.0750, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,207,872 UZS

2017 Average 1,523,680 UZS

Yearly Trough Low 978,918 UZS

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,228,954.81 UZS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

450.9892

183.8874

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to UZS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 380.9684, compared to 236.8683 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 144.1001 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 380.9684

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 236.8683

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 84.0522 UZS (High: 286.1545 / Low: 202.1023). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 5.6259 UZS (High: 406.3523 / Low: 400.7264).

August Spread (Volatile) ±84.0522

March Spread (Stable) ±5.6259

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 57.4630 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -57.4630

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 428.7307) against the same month in 2017 (average: 203.9190), the exchange rate shifted by +224.8117 (+110.25%).

2018 Avg (January) 428.7307

2017 Avg (January) 203.9190

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	441.5745	415.1078	428.7307
February	422.3709	404.8112	413.2104
March	406.3523	400.7264	403.5951
April	403.3926	393.0114	399.7733
May	390.5489	320.4118	342.3103
June	321.5642	273.2969	298.1907
July	288.6242	272.3863	283.0008
August	286.1545	202.1023	262.9267
September	216.3972	195.7835	206.1459
October	230.0111	204.8188	221.4961
November	233.2721	212.1821	227.4769
December	227.3605	216.8926	220.1633