2019 ARS to VEF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

6733.3525 VEF

YEARLY LOW

4125.5087 VEF

YEARLY AVERAGE

5317.7107 VEF

2019 ARS to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the ARS to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 11, valuing the pair at 6733.3525. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 14, dropping to 4125.5087.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2607.8438 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6650.9294 to the December average rate of 4155.2206, the exchange rate registered a net change of -37.52% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 6733.3525 was down 25.34% compared to the 2018 peak of 9018.5067, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 33,666,763 VEF

2018 Average 19,710,338 VEF

Yearly Trough Low 20,627,544 VEF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 13,039,219.03 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

6900.5003

3905.6497

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6027.1503, compared to 4608.2712 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1418.8791 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6027.1503

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4608.2712

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 1484.3516 VEF (High: 5609.8604 / Low: 4125.5087). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 21.4615 VEF (High: 4165.3463 / Low: 4143.8849).

August Spread (Volatile) ±1484.3516

December Spread (Stable) ±21.4615

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 1033.7935 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1033.7935

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 6650.9294) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.5319), the exchange rate shifted by +6650.3976 (+1250415.11%).

2019 Avg (January) 6650.9294

2018 Avg (January) 0.5319

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	6733.3525	6572.6223	6650.9294
February	6688.7656	6266.0793	6483.6051
March	6239.8022	5664.1815	6024.8868
April	5971.3201	5422.2978	5772.2504
May	5598.1446	5488.8074	5541.9165
June	5864.9840	5532.7672	5689.3134
July	5983.3287	5664.9563	5859.8783
August	5609.8604	4125.5087	4826.0848
September	4493.7725	4176.0523	4391.6012
October	4327.8122	4146.8311	4251.9788
November	4181.2101	4146.3217	4164.8633
December	4165.3463	4143.8849	4155.2206