2016 AWG to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

57.4053 KES

YEARLY LOW

55.9918 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

56.6060 KES

2016 AWG to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the AWG to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 31, valuing the pair at 57.4053. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 7, dropping to 55.9918.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.4135 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 57.0755 to the December average rate of 56.8882, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.33% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 57.4053 was down 2.91% compared to the 2015 peak of 59.1239, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AWG based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 287,027 KES

2015 Average 274,053 KES

Yearly Trough Low 279,959 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,067.57 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

57.1621

56.1236

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AWG to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 56.5979, compared to 56.6142 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0162 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 56.5979

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 56.6142

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.6072 KES (High: 57.4053 / Low: 56.7981). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1604 KES (High: 56.5921 / Low: 56.4317).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.6072

September Spread (Stable) ±0.1604

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.2859 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2859

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 57.0755) against the same month in 2015 (average: 51.0562), the exchange rate shifted by +6.0193 (+11.79%).

2016 Avg (January) 57.0755

2015 Avg (January) 51.0562

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	57.4053	56.7981	57.0755
February	57.0971	56.6571	56.8587
March	56.6986	56.3325	56.5728
April	56.6499	56.3537	56.4652
May	56.3731	55.9918	56.2101
June	56.5246	56.2399	56.4051
July	56.6372	56.3470	56.4962
August	56.7304	56.4671	56.5473
September	56.5921	56.4317	56.5156
October	56.6059	56.3085	56.4966
November	56.8079	56.5870	56.7410
December	57.1171	56.7156	56.8882