YEARLY HIGH
51.4656 RUB
YEARLY LOW
33.6530 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
41.9100 RUB

2016 AZN to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the AZN to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 21, valuing the pair at 51.4656. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 33.6530.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 17.8126 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 48.3242 to the December average rate of 35.0192, the exchange rate registered a net change of -27.53% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 51.4656 was down 42.26% compared to the 2015 peak of 89.1292, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AZN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 257,328 RUB
2015 Average 304,496 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 168,265 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 89,063.04 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

50.2116
33.6380
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AZN to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 45.1813, compared to 38.6387 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 6.5427 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 45.1813
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 38.6387

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 5.4202 RUB (High: 47.3190 / Low: 41.8988). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.2816 RUB (High: 39.9715 / Low: 38.6899).

March Spread (Volatile) ±5.4202
September Spread (Stable) ±1.2816

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 5.5380 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -5.5380

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 48.3242) against the same month in 2015 (average: 81.7492), the exchange rate shifted by -33.4250 (-40.89%).

2016 Avg (January) 48.3242
2015 Avg (January) 81.7492

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 51.4656 46.5877 48.3242
February 50.6405 47.8260 48.8305
March 47.3190 41.8988 43.2925
April 45.1860 42.9914 43.9015
May 44.8229 43.0719 43.9341
June 44.9704 41.1449 42.8052
July 41.8908 40.3134 41.0774
August 41.8733 38.9482 39.9443
September 39.9715 38.6899 39.2330
October 39.4421 38.0707 38.7077
November 38.6496 36.8465 37.8504
December 36.7074 33.6530 35.0192