YEARLY HIGH
5.2962 TJS
YEARLY LOW
4.3753 TJS
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.8915 TJS

2016 AZN to TJS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the AZN to TJS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 27, valuing the pair at 5.2962. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 4.3753.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9209 TJS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.6598 to the December average rate of 4.4442, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.63% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 5.2962 was down 23.28% compared to the 2015 peak of 6.9034, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AZN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 26,481 TJS
2015 Average 30,338 TJS
Yearly Trough Low 21,877 TJS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,604.29 TJS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

5.3245
4.3642
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AZN to TJS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.0192, compared to 4.7638 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2554 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.0192
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.7638

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.3630 TJS (High: 4.8350 / Low: 4.4719). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0873 TJS (High: 5.2962 / Low: 5.2088).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.3630
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0873

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.2479 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2479

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 5.2445) against the same month in 2015 (average: 5.9818), the exchange rate shifted by -0.7373 (-12.33%).

2016 Avg (May) 5.2445
2015 Avg (May) 5.9818

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.8350 4.4719 4.6598
February 5.0466 4.8611 4.9697
March 5.0881 4.7388 4.8757
April 5.2431 5.1478 5.1888
May 5.2962 5.2088 5.2445
June 5.2884 5.0631 5.1765
July 5.0822 4.9285 5.0227
August 4.9307 4.7546 4.8436
September 4.8388 4.7341 4.7893
October 4.9347 4.7633 4.8654
November 4.7682 4.5169 4.6175
December 4.5108 4.3753 4.4442