YEARLY HIGH
1.5345 TOP
YEARLY LOW
1.2678 TOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.4069 TOP

2016 AZN to TOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the AZN to TOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 1, valuing the pair at 1.5345. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 19, dropping to 1.2678.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2667 TOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.4241 to the December average rate of 1.2854, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.74% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.5345 was down 40.71% compared to the 2015 peak of 2.5880, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AZN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,672 TOP
2015 Average 10,496 TOP
Yearly Trough Low 6,339 TOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,333.57 TOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.5223
1.2639
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AZN to TOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.4511, compared to 1.3627 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0884 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.4511
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.3627

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.1051 TOP (High: 1.5345 / Low: 1.4294). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0231 TOP (High: 1.4547 / Low: 1.4316).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.1051
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0231

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0609 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0609

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 1.4767) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.9916), the exchange rate shifted by -0.5149 (-25.86%).

2016 Avg (June) 1.4767
2015 Avg (June) 1.9916

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.4363 1.4085 1.4241
February 1.4617 1.3985 1.4397
March 1.4568 1.3571 1.3959
April 1.4836 1.4604 1.4695
May 1.5337 1.4705 1.5007
June 1.5345 1.4294 1.4767
July 1.4547 1.4316 1.4458
August 1.4189 1.3654 1.3905
September 1.3838 1.3522 1.3682
October 1.3937 1.3427 1.3735
November 1.3661 1.2895 1.3126
December 1.3020 1.2678 1.2854