YEARLY HIGH
6.7121 VEF
YEARLY LOW
3.8076 VEF
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.6604 VEF

2016 AZN to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the AZN to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 30, valuing the pair at 6.7121. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 12, dropping to 3.8076.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.9045 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.9903 to the December average rate of 5.6367, the exchange rate registered a net change of 41.26% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 6.7121 was down 17.01% compared to the 2015 peak of 8.0882, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AZN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 33,561 VEF
2015 Average 31,376 VEF
Yearly Trough Low 19,038 VEF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 14,522.58 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

6.9182
3.6454
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AZN to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.2811, compared to 6.0396 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.7585 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.2811
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.0396

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.3161 VEF (High: 6.0394 / Low: 5.7233). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1119 VEF (High: 6.7121 / Low: 6.6003).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.3161
May Spread (Stable) ±0.1119

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.3169 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3169

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 6.6455) against the same month in 2015 (average: 6.0204), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6251 (+10.38%).

2016 Avg (May) 6.6455
2015 Avg (May) 6.0204

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.0463 3.8913 3.9903
February 4.0531 3.9190 3.9973
March 4.0769 3.8076 3.9181
April 6.6437 6.5228 6.5755
May 6.7121 6.6003 6.6455
June 6.7021 6.4173 6.5601
July 6.4735 6.2493 6.3731
August 6.2519 6.0301 6.1418
September 6.1362 6.0072 6.0695
October 6.2427 6.0333 6.1668
November 6.0394 5.7233 5.8498
December 5.7159 5.5475 5.6367