2016 BAM to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

59.4800 KES

YEARLY LOW

54.3402 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

57.4369 KES

2016 BAM to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BAM to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 2, valuing the pair at 59.4800. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 20, dropping to 54.3402.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.1398 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 56.8677 to the December average rate of 55.0278, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.24% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 59.4800 was down 3.20% compared to the 2015 peak of 61.4444, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BAM based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 297,400 KES

2015 Average 278,717 KES

Yearly Trough Low 271,701 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 25,699.04 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

59.0654

54.6607

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BAM to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 57.9282, compared to 56.9457 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.9825 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 57.9282

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 56.9457

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 2.8512 KES (High: 57.8687 / Low: 55.0175). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5995 KES (High: 58.3056 / Low: 57.7061).

November Spread (Volatile) ±2.8512

September Spread (Stable) ±0.5995

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 1.0996 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.0996

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 58.2044) against the same month in 2015 (average: 54.9774), the exchange rate shifted by +3.2270 (+5.87%).

2016 Avg (May) 58.2044

2015 Avg (May) 54.9774

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	57.1186	56.3638	56.8677
February	58.9602	56.7748	57.8967
March	58.9325	56.4068	57.7631
April	59.1817	58.0975	58.6984
May	59.4800	57.2372	58.2044
June	58.8712	57.1598	58.1389
July	57.8377	56.8806	57.3131
August	58.6812	57.4506	58.0598
September	58.3056	57.7061	57.9945
October	58.1502	56.3519	57.1516
November	57.8687	55.0175	56.1273
December	56.0568	54.3402	55.0278