YEARLY HIGH
4.0511 TRY
YEARLY LOW
2.2913 TRY
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.9135 TRY

2018 BAM to TRY Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BAM to TRY exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 3, valuing the pair at 4.0511. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 8, dropping to 2.2913.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.7598 TRY. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.3503 to the December average rate of 3.0905, the exchange rate registered a net change of 31.49% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4.0511 was up 68.02% compared to the 2017 peak of 2.4111, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BAM based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 20,255 TRY
2017 Average 10,533 TRY
Yearly Trough Low 11,456 TRY
Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,799.10 TRY purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

3.9168
2.2079
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BAM to TRY Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.5318, compared to 3.2952 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.7634 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.5318
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.2952

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 1.0664 TRY (High: 4.0437 / Low: 2.9773). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0356 TRY (High: 2.4095 / Low: 2.3739).

August Spread (Volatile) ±1.0664
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0356

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.3572 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3572

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 3.7744) against the same month in 2017 (average: 2.1146), the exchange rate shifted by +1.6598 (+78.49%).

2018 Avg (September) 3.7744
2017 Avg (September) 2.1146

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.4005 2.2913 2.3503
February 2.4095 2.3739 2.3907
March 2.5428 2.3727 2.4546
April 2.6208 2.4938 2.5529
May 2.8507 2.5344 2.6786
June 2.8663 2.6850 2.7639
July 2.9748 2.7374 2.8580
August 4.0437 2.9773 3.5068
September 4.0511 3.5856 3.7744
October 3.6371 3.1761 3.4172
November 3.2332 3.0056 3.1245
December 3.1284 3.0076 3.0905