YEARLY HIGH
0.1708 SCR
YEARLY LOW
0.1584 SCR
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1624 SCR

2018 BDT to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BDT to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 27, valuing the pair at 0.1708. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 19, dropping to 0.1584.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0124 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1676 to the December average rate of 0.1631, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.68% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.1708 was down 0.77% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.1721, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BDT based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 854 SCR
2017 Average 836 SCR
Yearly Trough Low 792 SCR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 62.13 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.1684
0.1585
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BDT to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1626, compared to 0.1621 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0005 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1626
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1621

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was February, with a trading range of 0.0095 SCR (High: 0.1688 / Low: 0.1593). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0016 SCR (High: 0.1618 / Low: 0.1602).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0095
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0016

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0039 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0039

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 0.1627) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.1669), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0042 (-2.51%).

2018 Avg (September) 0.1627
2017 Avg (September) 0.1669

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1704 0.1646 0.1676
February 0.1688 0.1593 0.1636
March 0.1688 0.1603 0.1642
April 0.1656 0.1589 0.1612
May 0.1656 0.1584 0.1593
June 0.1606 0.1586 0.1598
July 0.1618 0.1602 0.1609
August 0.1628 0.1606 0.1614
September 0.1708 0.1618 0.1627
October 0.1649 0.1596 0.1618
November 0.1645 0.1625 0.1630
December 0.1663 0.1620 0.1631