YEARLY HIGH
97.5684 AOA
YEARLY LOW
74.5385 AOA
YEARLY AVERAGE
92.2005 AOA

2016 BGN to AOA Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BGN to AOA exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 2, valuing the pair at 97.5684. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 5, dropping to 74.5385.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 23.0299 AOA. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 82.7830 to the December average rate of 89.2900, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.86% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 97.5684 was up 22.64% compared to the 2015 peak of 79.5556, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 487,842 AOA
2015 Average 339,679 AOA
Yearly Trough Low 372,692 AOA
Transaction Impact: A difference of 115,149.43 AOA purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

97.0595
81.4851
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to AOA Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 91.4745, compared to 92.9265 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.4520 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 91.4745
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 92.9265

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 12.3676 AOA (High: 86.9060 / Low: 74.5385). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.9167 AOA (High: 95.3887 / Low: 94.4720).

January Spread (Volatile) ±12.3676
September Spread (Stable) ±0.9167

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 2.0865 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.0865

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 95.7616) against the same month in 2015 (average: 62.5660), the exchange rate shifted by +33.1957 (+53.06%).

2016 Avg (May) 95.7616
2015 Avg (May) 62.5660

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 86.9060 74.5385 82.7830
February 90.8102 86.5061 89.3314
March 93.3250 88.3008 90.6647
April 96.9106 93.4410 95.0038
May 97.5684 94.2570 95.7616
June 96.5370 93.5130 95.3027
July 94.5303 93.0230 93.7296
August 95.9148 93.8660 94.8656
September 95.3887 94.4720 94.8802
October 95.0345 92.1055 93.4173
November 94.3303 89.4690 91.3765
December 90.8506 88.1563 89.2900