YEARLY HIGH
40.5604 KGS
YEARLY LOW
38.7751 KGS
YEARLY AVERAGE
39.5913 KGS

2019 BGN to KGS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the BGN to KGS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 40.5604. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 38.7751.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.7854 KGS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 40.1042 to the December average rate of 39.5679, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.34% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 40.5604 was down 7.30% compared to the 2018 peak of 43.7538, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 202,802 KGS
2018 Average 206,619 KGS
Yearly Trough Low 193,875 KGS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,926.78 KGS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

40.1928
39.1300
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to KGS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 39.6754, compared to 39.5072 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1682 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 39.6754
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 39.5072

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was June, with a trading range of 1.1520 KGS (High: 40.3858 / Low: 39.2339). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3845 KGS (High: 39.4780 / Low: 39.0935).

June Spread (Volatile) ±1.1520
May Spread (Stable) ±0.3845

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.3978 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3978

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 40.1042) against the same month in 2018 (average: 43.0665), the exchange rate shifted by -2.9623 (-6.88%).

2019 Avg (January) 40.1042
2018 Avg (January) 43.0665

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 40.5604 39.6924 40.1042
February 40.2152 39.5684 39.8530
March 40.1107 39.3035 39.6795
April 39.7492 39.1542 39.4241
May 39.4780 39.0935 39.3064
June 40.3858 39.2339 39.6851
July 40.1262 39.4024 39.8868
August 39.9355 39.1126 39.6164
September 39.5415 38.7751 39.2186
October 39.7470 38.8447 39.3820
November 39.7853 39.1989 39.3714
December 39.8755 39.2483 39.5679