YEARLY HIGH
9.2671 LSL
YEARLY LOW
7.2612 LSL
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.9704 LSL

2018 BGN to LSL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BGN to LSL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 16, valuing the pair at 9.2671. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 23, dropping to 7.2612.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.0058 LSL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.6014 to the December average rate of 8.2961, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9.14% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 9.2671 was up 6.48% compared to the 2017 peak of 8.7032, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 46,335 LSL
2017 Average 38,463 LSL
Yearly Trough Low 36,306 LSL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 10,029.12 LSL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

8.9148
7.3428
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to LSL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.6059, compared to 8.3350 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.7292 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.6059
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.3350

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was September, with a trading range of 0.8746 LSL (High: 9.2671 / Low: 8.3924). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1809 LSL (High: 7.5723 / Low: 7.3914).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.8746
March Spread (Stable) ±0.1809

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.3468 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3468

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 8.7838) against the same month in 2017 (average: 8.0128), the exchange rate shifted by +0.7710 (+9.62%).

2018 Avg (September) 8.7838
2017 Avg (September) 8.0128

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.7120 7.5040 7.6014
February 7.6747 7.2612 7.4738
March 7.5723 7.3914 7.4752
April 7.7364 7.4308 7.5900
May 7.7403 7.4009 7.5832
June 8.2268 7.5207 7.9115
July 8.2348 7.8270 8.0155
August 8.6740 7.8353 8.1940
September 9.2671 8.3924 8.7838
October 8.7531 8.3632 8.5337
November 8.4372 7.9481 8.1869
December 8.4957 7.9241 8.2961