YEARLY HIGH
31.7670 MKD
YEARLY LOW
30.8940 MKD
YEARLY AVERAGE
31.4761 MKD

2018 BGN to MKD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BGN to MKD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 29, valuing the pair at 31.7670. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 17, dropping to 30.8940.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8730 MKD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 31.4845 to the December average rate of 31.4685, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.05% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 31.7670 was down 0.94% compared to the 2017 peak of 32.0680, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 158,835 MKD
2017 Average 157,482 MKD
Yearly Trough Low 154,470 MKD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,364.78 MKD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

31.5093
31.3961
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to MKD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 31.4753, compared to 31.4769 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0016 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 31.4753
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 31.4769

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was June, with a trading range of 0.6469 MKD (High: 31.5410 / Low: 30.8940). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0945 MKD (High: 31.5335 / Low: 31.4390).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.6469
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0945

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0911 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0911

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 31.4465) against the same month in 2017 (average: 31.4855), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0390 (-0.12%).

2018 Avg (November) 31.4465
2017 Avg (November) 31.4855

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 31.5433 31.2718 31.4845
February 31.5498 31.4290 31.4999
March 31.5271 31.3909 31.4776
April 31.5772 31.4283 31.4876
May 31.5487 31.2689 31.4966
June 31.5410 30.8940 31.4056
July 31.5711 31.4477 31.4915
August 31.5459 31.4340 31.4891
September 31.5335 31.4390 31.4863
October 31.5687 31.3518 31.4794
November 31.7670 31.3192 31.4465
December 31.5938 31.3316 31.4685