2016 BGN to RON Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.3267 RON

YEARLY LOW

2.2685 RON

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.2959 RON

2016 BGN to RON Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BGN to RON exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 31, valuing the pair at 2.3267. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 2.2685.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0582 RON. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.3170 to the December average rate of 2.3097, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.31% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 2.3267 was up 0.31% compared to the 2015 peak of 2.3196, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 11,634 RON

2015 Average 11,364 RON

Yearly Trough Low 11,342 RON

Transaction Impact: A difference of 291.12 RON purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

2.3213

2.2698

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to RON Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.2986, compared to 2.2932 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0055 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.2986

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.2932

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was July, with a trading range of 0.0383 RON (High: 2.3146 / Low: 2.2763). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0075 RON (High: 2.2904 / Low: 2.2829).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0383

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0075

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0252 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0252

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 2.3170) against the same month in 2015 (average: 2.2938), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0232 (+1.01%).

2016 Avg (January) 2.3170

2015 Avg (January) 2.2938

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.3267	2.3095	2.3170
February	2.3157	2.2813	2.2918
March	2.2898	2.2794	2.2838
April	2.2904	2.2829	2.2865
May	2.3076	2.2882	2.3003
June	2.3214	2.3043	2.3125
July	2.3146	2.2763	2.2932
August	2.2862	2.2757	2.2798
September	2.2769	2.2685	2.2741
October	2.3060	2.2690	2.2968
November	2.3138	2.2960	2.3053
December	2.3227	2.2934	2.3097