YEARLY HIGH
5049.1981 SLL
YEARLY LOW
3730.5576 SLL
YEARLY AVERAGE
4657.0724 SLL

2018 BGN to SLL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BGN to SLL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 23, valuing the pair at 5049.1981. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 27, dropping to 3730.5576.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1318.6405 SLL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4781.4759 to the December average rate of 4879.8918, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.06% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 5049.1981 was up 7.51% compared to the 2017 peak of 4696.5513, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 25,245,990 SLL
2017 Average 21,616,979 SLL
Yearly Trough Low 18,652,788 SLL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,593,202.65 SLL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

5115.4812
3703.0134
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to SLL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4683.3695, compared to 4630.7752 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 52.5943 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4683.3695
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4630.7752

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 1229.5804 SLL (High: 5024.5237 / Low: 3794.9433). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 66.0466 SLL (High: 4914.6814 / Low: 4848.6348).

August Spread (Volatile) ±1229.5804
December Spread (Stable) ±66.0466

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 608.5803 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -608.5803

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 4997.7755) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4599.4847), the exchange rate shifted by +398.2908 (+8.66%).

2018 Avg (September) 4997.7755
2017 Avg (September) 4599.4847

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4874.2254 4681.7043 4781.4759
February 4903.9580 4780.7547 4845.7102
March 4880.2964 4805.1094 4839.6090
April 4894.6844 4775.8930 4828.5900
May 4779.6551 4623.0935 4706.7062
June 4723.3175 3730.5576 4098.1259
July 3906.3853 3748.8905 3820.7190
August 5024.5237 3794.9433 4283.9667
September 5049.1981 4957.0439 4997.7755
October 4973.1633 4853.8999 4927.4709
November 4914.6238 4815.9216 4874.8276
December 4914.6814 4848.6348 4879.8918