2016 BGN to SRD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

4.4493 SRD

YEARLY LOW

2.1991 SRD

YEARLY AVERAGE

3.4677 SRD

2016 BGN to SRD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BGN to SRD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 26, valuing the pair at 4.4493. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 5, dropping to 2.1991.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.2503 SRD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.2180 to the December average rate of 3.9677, the exchange rate registered a net change of 78.89% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 4.4493 was up 99.31% compared to the 2015 peak of 2.2324, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 22,247 SRD

2015 Average 9,463 SRD

Yearly Trough Low 10,995 SRD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 11,251.46 SRD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

4.5048

2.0101

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to SRD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.8631, compared to 4.0724 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.2094 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.8631

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.0724

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was October, with a trading range of 0.5636 SRD (High: 4.3766 / Low: 3.8130). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0316 SRD (High: 2.2307 / Low: 2.1991).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.5636

January Spread (Stable) ±0.0316

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.2186 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2186

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2016: 4.2969) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.8870), the exchange rate shifted by +2.4099 (+127.71%).

2016 Avg (September) 4.2969

2015 Avg (September) 1.8870

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.2307	2.1991	2.2180
February	2.3088	2.2205	2.2665
March	2.3104	2.2190	2.2719
April	3.3137	2.9267	3.0885
May	3.6963	3.2367	3.3653
June	4.0743	3.6704	3.9681
July	4.0513	3.9637	3.9968
August	4.1997	4.0276	4.1171
September	4.4493	4.0984	4.2969
October	4.3766	3.8130	4.0783
November	4.0557	3.9138	3.9778
December	4.0186	3.9238	3.9677