YEARLY HIGH
4.9943 BGN
YEARLY LOW
4.5082 BGN
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.6890 BGN

2016 BHD to BGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BHD to BGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 20, valuing the pair at 4.9943. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 2, dropping to 4.5082.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4861 BGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.7762 to the December average rate of 4.9253, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.12% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 4.9943 was up 1.01% compared to the 2015 peak of 4.9443, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BHD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 24,972 BGN
2015 Average 23,374 BGN
Yearly Trough Low 22,541 BGN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,430.61 BGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

4.9603
4.5410
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BHD to BGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.6484, compared to 4.7296 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0812 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.6484
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.7296

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.2533 BGN (High: 4.9103 / Low: 4.6570). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0456 BGN (High: 4.6500 / Low: 4.6044).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.2533
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0456

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1040 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1040

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 4.9253) against the same month in 2015 (average: 4.7589), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1664 (+3.50%).

2016 Avg (December) 4.9253
2015 Avg (December) 4.7589

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.8141 4.7484 4.7762
February 4.7729 4.5869 4.6722
March 4.7718 4.5650 4.6594
April 4.6199 4.5368 4.5760
May 4.6628 4.5082 4.5927
June 4.7003 4.5550 4.6139
July 4.7186 4.6447 4.6831
August 4.6784 4.5800 4.6290
September 4.6500 4.6044 4.6293
October 4.7690 4.6219 4.7021
November 4.9103 4.6570 4.8088
December 4.9943 4.8383 4.9253