YEARLY HIGH
278.0578 RSD
YEARLY LOW
250.7461 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
265.5530 RSD

2018 BHD to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BHD to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 27, valuing the pair at 278.0578. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 15, dropping to 250.7461.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 27.3117 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 257.9496 to the December average rate of 275.7917, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.92% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 278.0578 was down 11.51% compared to the 2017 peak of 314.2370, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BHD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,390,289 RSD
2017 Average 1,427,303 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 1,253,731 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 136,558.53 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

278.3745
251.9933
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BHD to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 259.0266, compared to 272.0794 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 13.0528 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 259.0266
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 272.0794

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 11.5352 RSD (High: 271.0665 / Low: 259.5314). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.6458 RSD (High: 267.8486 / Low: 264.2028).

May Spread (Volatile) ±11.5352
July Spread (Stable) ±3.6458

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 3.7579 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -3.7579

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 276.1761) against the same month in 2017 (average: 268.0433), the exchange rate shifted by +8.1328 (+3.03%).

2018 Avg (November) 276.1761
2017 Avg (November) 268.0433

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 263.9165 253.2884 257.9496
February 257.0472 250.7461 254.1917
March 256.5131 252.1118 254.2296
April 259.4902 252.9011 255.4178
May 271.0665 259.5314 264.9419
June 270.4442 264.8727 267.4290
July 267.8486 264.2028 266.4855
August 275.8326 267.5081 271.1896
September 271.6627 266.1329 269.2955
October 277.3573 270.7253 273.5380
November 278.0578 273.9285 276.1761
December 277.9493 273.6976 275.7917