YEARLY HIGH
287.2600 HUF
YEARLY LOW
247.1120 HUF
YEARLY AVERAGE
270.2432 HUF

2018 BMD to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BMD to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 12, valuing the pair at 287.2600. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 1, dropping to 247.1120.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 40.1480 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 253.3771 to the December average rate of 283.6185, the exchange rate registered a net change of 11.94% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 287.2600 was down 3.27% compared to the 2017 peak of 296.9851, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,436,300 HUF
2017 Average 1,370,865 HUF
Yearly Trough Low 1,235,560 HUF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 200,740.00 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

286.7324
249.3652
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BMD to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 259.6069, compared to 280.8795 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 21.2726 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 259.6069
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 280.8795

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 16.3073 HUF (High: 278.0993 / Low: 261.7920). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 4.3747 HUF (High: 255.5880 / Low: 251.2133).

May Spread (Volatile) ±16.3073
March Spread (Stable) ±4.3747

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 1.0476 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.0476

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 283.4746) against the same month in 2017 (average: 265.4832), the exchange rate shifted by +17.9915 (+6.78%).

2018 Avg (November) 283.4746
2017 Avg (November) 265.4832

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 259.3749 248.7500 253.3771
February 257.4455 247.1120 252.4792
March 255.5880 251.2133 253.2203
April 259.5310 250.4600 254.0192
May 278.0993 261.7920 268.0615
June 284.0817 269.9585 276.4839
July 283.4493 274.1900 277.5265
August 286.1722 275.1480 279.8517
September 282.8369 274.7037 278.8040
October 286.9609 278.0300 282.0018
November 287.2600 280.4501 283.4746
December 286.3300 279.9500 283.6185