YEARLY HIGH
69.0996 RUB
YEARLY LOW
61.8467 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
64.6969 RUB

2019 BMD to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the BMD to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 69.0996. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 25, dropping to 61.8467.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 7.2529 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 66.7189 to the December average rate of 62.8539, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.79% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 69.0996 was down 2.10% compared to the 2018 peak of 70.5812, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 345,498 RUB
2018 Average 314,081 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 309,234 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 36,264.50 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

67.1054
62.4674
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BMD to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 65.2208, compared to 64.1731 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.0477 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 65.2208
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 64.1731

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 3.6502 RUB (High: 69.0996 / Low: 65.4494). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.9339 RUB (High: 64.3708 / Low: 63.4369).

January Spread (Volatile) ±3.6502
November Spread (Stable) ±0.9339

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.9922 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.9922

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 66.7189) against the same month in 2018 (average: 56.6616), the exchange rate shifted by +10.0573 (+17.75%).

2019 Avg (January) 66.7189
2018 Avg (January) 56.6616

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 69.0996 65.4494 66.7189
February 66.6579 65.3738 65.7802
March 66.4128 63.8167 65.2401
April 65.4253 63.7047 64.5674
May 65.4756 64.3496 64.9038
June 65.5980 62.5650 64.1144
July 63.8483 62.6815 63.2540
August 66.9702 64.3316 65.8709
September 66.7834 63.7968 64.9200
October 65.2647 63.6850 64.2937
November 64.3708 63.4369 63.8461
December 64.3141 61.8467 62.8539